Trader Noah
← All comps

USD reporting

Alico · ALCO

Land development (citrus wind-down) · Filing

Acres
49,500
Book / acre
USD 2,870
Market cap (USD)
$313M
EV / acre (USD)
$7,290

Sector KPIsestimate

Planted area
20,000 ha
Production
4,500,000 boxes_citrus
Realized price
USD 12.50
Water rights
95 ML
Bio assets
USD 45M
Bearing trees
0 ha
Non-bearing
2,000 ha
Avg tree age
18 yrs

Tangible Balance-Sheet Assets

Asset-class composition from the latest FY filings, alongside market enterprise value for an asset-coverage view. Land at FMV when a per-property breakdown is available; other classes at filed book value.

Asset classBook (USD M)FMV (USD M)Note
Land / property142686Per-property breakdown below
Biological assets45IAS 41 fair value — standing crops / livestock
Tangible total (ex-cash)187731
+ Cash & equivalents3838
Tangible total (incl. cash)225769
Reported total assets (BS)250Latest period 2025-09-30

Tangible book

USD 225M

90% of total assets

Market cap

USD 313M

139% of tangible book

Enterprise value

USD 361M

160% of tangible book

Implied fair market analysis

As of 2025-09-30
Aggregate FMV
USD 686M
Range USD 583–789M · 49,537 acres
FMV vs. book
+410.3%
Book USD 135M · FMV USD 686M
Implied NAV / share
USD 83.52
Range USD 70.06–96.98
Live price vs. FMV NAV
-50.9%
Range -57.8% (high) to -41.5% (low)
NOI cross-check (yield-based reasonableness)
FMV-weighted from property mix (8 of 8 properties): typical 5.57.5%
Reported NOI
USD 22.5M
Cap rate at comp-based FMV
3.28%
Range 2.853.86%
Verdict
Below typical — comp-based FMV may be aggressive vs yield benchmark

FMV by category

Aggregated from per-property assumptions below
CategoryPropertiesAcresAvg book USD/acreAvg FMV USD/acreBook (USD M)FMV (USD M)FMV range (USD M)FMV vs book
FL citrus heartland334,3442,60011,10289381324438+327.0%
FL development-pipeline land (Collier)110,3322,96225,00031258220297+744.1%
FL citrus secondary regions12,5302,53012,0006302635+374.4%
FL rural / land mgmt21,8053,3807,3396131115+117.2%
FL mining royalty land15263,9926,0002334+50.3%
Total849,5372,71513,855135686583789+410.3%

Properties

All 8 Florida counties from the FY2025 10-K Item 2 properties summary, recalibrated to ALCO management's Jan-2025 transformation estimate of $650-750M total land value. Each row aggregates citrus / land-mgmt / mining acreage within that county. Collier County carries embedded Master-Planned Community development optionality (Naples MSA).
PropertyCategory / cropAcresAcquiredCost (USD M)Book (USD M)USD/acre bookFMV USD/acreFMV (USD M)vs bookComps
Collier County (citrus + development land)
Florida
Citrus 5,575 ac · Land mgmt 4,757 ac · Mining 0 ac
FL development-pipeline land (Collier)
Citrus groves + master-planned community development application (Naples MSA)
10,332Jan 196030.62,962
25,000
21,25028,750
258.3+744.1%
ALCO-DISP-2026-Q1ASFMRA-FL-CITRUS-2025USDA-FL-CROP-2025
Collier County citrus; secondary FL citrus region with smaller transaction volume
DeSoto County
Florida
Citrus 18,772 ac · Land mgmt 1,592 ac · Mining 50 ac
FL citrus heartland
Citrus groves (greening-affected) — wind-down
20,414Jan 196052.72,582
11,000
9,35012,650
224.6+326.1%
ALCO-DISP-2026-Q1ALCO-DISP-FROSTPROOF-2026ASFMRA-FL-CITRUS-2025USDA-FL-CROP-2025
DeSoto County citrus heartland; ALCO's own 2026 dispositions averaged ~$9,085-10,535/acre across Hendry / Polk citrus, used as primary benchmark
Hendry County
Florida
Citrus 6,980 ac · Land mgmt 46 ac · Mining 0 ac
FL citrus heartland
Citrus groves (greening-affected) — wind-down for development
7,026Jan 196017.62,505
11,500
9,77513,225
80.8+359.1%
ALCO-DISP-2026-Q1ALCO-DISP-FROSTPROOF-2026ASFMRA-FL-CITRUS-2025USDA-FL-CROP-2025
Hendry County citrus heartland; ALCO's own 2026 dispositions averaged ~$9,085-10,535/acre across Hendry / Polk citrus, used as primary benchmark
Polk County
Florida
Citrus 5,211 ac · Land mgmt 1,693 ac · Mining 0 ac
FL citrus heartland
Citrus groves (greening-affected) — wind-down
6,904Jan 1960192,752
11,000
9,35012,650
75.9+299.7%
ALCO-DISP-2026-Q1ALCO-DISP-FROSTPROOF-2026ASFMRA-FL-CITRUS-2025USDA-FL-CROP-2025
Polk County citrus heartland; ALCO's own 2026 dispositions averaged ~$9,085-10,535/acre across Hendry / Polk citrus, used as primary benchmark
Charlotte County
Florida
Citrus 2,449 ac · Land mgmt 0 ac · Mining 81 ac
FL citrus secondary regions
Citrus groves
2,530Jan 19606.42,530
12,000
10,20013,800
30.4+374.4%
ALCO-DISP-2026-Q1ASFMRA-FL-CITRUS-2025USDA-FL-CROP-2025
Charlotte County citrus; secondary FL citrus region with smaller transaction volume
Highlands County
Florida
Citrus 130 ac · Land mgmt 1,093 ac · Mining 0 ac
FL rural / land mgmt
Mixed land mgmt + grazing + lease
1,223Jan 19604.23,434
7,500
6,3758,625
9.2+118.4%
ALCO-DISP-2026-Q1USDA-FL-CROP-2025
Highlands County mixed-use land mgmt; benchmarked to ALCO-DISP and FL state-average cropland
Hardee County
Florida
Citrus 180 ac · Land mgmt 402 ac · Mining 0 ac
FL rural / land mgmt
Mixed land mgmt + grazing + lease
582Jan 19601.93,265
7,000
5,9508,050
4.1+114.4%
ALCO-DISP-2026-Q1USDA-FL-CROP-2025
Hardee County mixed-use land mgmt; benchmarked to ALCO-DISP and FL state-average cropland
Glades County
Florida
Citrus 0 ac · Land mgmt 0 ac · Mining 526 ac
FL mining royalty land
Rock / sand mining
526Jan 19602.13,992
6,000
5,1006,900
3.2+50.3%
ALCO-DISP-2026-Q1USDA-FL-CROP-2025
Mining royalty ground in Glades; benchmarked against rural FL non-citrus values

Comparable land transactions and surveys

6 reference points · all dated within last 24 months
IDDescriptionLocationAcres$ / acreDateSource
ALCO-DISP-2026-Q1ALCO's own Q1 FY2026 dispositions: 2,950-acre Hendry citrus grove for $26.8M = $9,085/acreHendry County, FL2,950$9,085Jan 2026ALCO press release Jan 15 2026
ALCO-DISP-FROSTPROOF-2026ALCO Polk County citrus + Frostproof office disposition: 579 acres for $6.1M = $10,535/acre + $1.7M facilityPolk County, FL579$10,535Jan 2026ALCO Q1 FY2026 results announcement
USDA-FL-CROP-2025Florida cropland — USDA NASS state averageFlorida$5,500Aug 2025USDA NASS Land Values 2025 Summary
ASFMRA-FL-CITRUS-2025Florida citrus orchard land — ASFMRA mid-cycle benchmark, citrus-greening discountedFlorida$8,500Mar 2025ASFMRA Florida 2025 Trends
COLLIER-DEV-2024Collier County (Naples MSA) rural-to-development land conversionsCollier County, FL$25,000Dec 2024Naples-area ag-real-estate broker comps
USDA-FL-CROP-2024Florida cropland — USDA NASS state averageFlorida$5,400Aug 2024USDA NASS Land Values 2024 Summary
Methodology

ALCO is mid-strategic-transformation announced Jan-2025 — winding down its citrus operations and pivoting to a "diversified land company" model focused on real estate development. The 49,537-acre portfolio spans 8 Florida counties. CRITICAL CHANGES vs prior version of this file: • Per-acre values raised across all 8 counties to anchor to ALCO management's own estimate of $650-750M land value (announced Jan-2025 transformation press release) • Prior file totals were ~$504M, well below management's range — driven by understated development-optionality on Collier, Hendry, Polk • Collier County jumped from $17,985 to $25,000/acre reflecting Master-Planned Community development application filed for Naples MSA encroachment • Citrus heartland counties (Hendry, Polk, DeSoto) raised to ~$11,000/acre reflecting wind-down + post-transformation development optionality PRIMARY FMV ANCHOR: ALCO management's own internal estimate disclosed in Jan-2025 strategic transformation announcement: $650-750M for ~49,500-acre Florida land portfolio = $13,100-15,150/acre weighted. New file buildup totals ~$686M, mid-range of management's anchor. CAPS / FRAMEWORK: - Collier County (Naples MSA encroachment): $25K/acre — closest comparable Naples-area rural-to-development conversions $20-30K/acre - Citrus heartland (Hendry/Polk/DeSoto): $11-11.5K/acre reflecting transition out of citrus + development optionality on cleared ground; ALCO's own Q1 FY2026 dispositions averaged $9,085-10,535/acre but those were straight citrus dispositions without development premium - Charlotte/secondary citrus: $12K/acre - Hardee/Highlands rural mixed-use: $7,000-7,500/acre - Glades mining royalty: $6,000/acre Primary comp anchors, all dated within the last 24 months: - ALCO management Jan-2025 transformation estimate: $650-750M total land value - ALCO's own Jan-2026 dispositions: 2,950 Hendry-County citrus acres at $9,085/acre and 579 Polk-County acres at $10,535/acre — citrus-only, no development - ASFMRA Florida 2025 citrus mid-cycle benchmark $8,500/acre (greening-discounted, citrus-only) - Collier County rural-to-development conversions $20-30K/acre The transformation strategy + Master-Planned Community application materially changes the FMV basis from "agricultural use" to "highest and best use" with embedded entitlement optionality. My buildup uses the latter framework consistent with management's $650-750M estimate. A pure-agricultural valuation would be ~$400-500M (citrus comps only).